The first two years had a lot of weddings on it. I averaged around 8000 shots per year on my D750 before I sold it. Then you have to factor in how much you shoot. Shutter repairs can run between $300-500 USD as long as the camera maker is still servicing the camera. The camera would very well fail on the next shot.
But some won't make it to 150,000 and the closer you get, the chance of failure goes up. It's not unusual for cameras to live well past their 150,000 rating. Now, this is based on lab testing, not real usage. Going the other way, around 24% of the cameras will make it to 190,000 shots, and 6% will make it past 190,000. 24% of cameras will fail between 90,000 and 130,000 shots and 6.8% will fail sooner than 90,000. 38% of the cameras will fail between 130,000 and 170,000 shots. Just for fun, let's say that each vertical line represents about 20,000 actuations (7 blocks on either side of center 150,000/7=21,450, so we will say 20,000 to keep it easy). About 38% of them will be in the green area. Imagine the centerline for this camera is 150,000. This is a standard bell curve that shows on a general basis how "average works". It's simply stating that the average shutter on that camera will have 150,000 actuations before it fails. The shutter rating is in effect a "Mean time between failure" measure. r/RoomDetective - What can you deduce from a photograph? r/Redditor_Pics - Redditors posting pics of themselves, family, and friends r/QualityPhotos - Professionals, intermediates, and beginners are encourage share their best work.
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